Welcome to Week 7! Below, you’ll find a quick recap of our most recent DFS Academy podcast with a list of our picks, our favorite props, and a replay of the show, just in case you missed it.
REMINDER: You can play against me and Austin this year in one or both of our ongoing DFS contests! It’s easy to join in. Just click the links!
DraftKings Contest
FanDuel Contest
Recap of DFS Academy for Week 7
Top of the Class
Players that are priced $8,000 or more who we are targeting in Cash Games (Austin) and Tournaments (Kelly)
- Austin
- Cooper Kupp (DraftKings: $9,500 / FanDuel: $9,700)
- Pittsburgh Steelers give up the fourth most points to receivers
- No Kyren Williams, no Ronnie Rivers. Time for the Rams to throw the ball 50 times
- Cooper Kupp (DraftKings: $9,500 / FanDuel: $9,700)
- Kelly
- Patrick Mahomes ($8.3K DraftKings / $9.2K FanDuel)
- Listed with the highest projected points for the week at 23 FPPG. Rostership is looking pretty decent on DraftKings in particular at around 7%. Last week was his 43rd career game with 300 yards or more, the most in NFL history since 2017.
- Patrick Mahomes ($8.3K DraftKings / $9.2K FanDuel)
Band Nerds
Mid-tier players priced between $6,000 and $8,000 who we are targeting in Cash Games (Austin) and Tournaments (Kelly)
- Austin
- Geno Smith (DraftKings: $6,000 / FanDuel: $7,000)
- Arizona is averaging 21.52 DraftKings points to quarterbacks
- Saving salary at quarterback to pay up for Cooper Kupp
- Prefer on FanDuel
- Aaron Jones (DraftKings: $6,800 / FanDuel: $7,700)
- Denver Broncos allowing most points to running backs
- Low spread, should be a back and forth game, providing pass game opportunities
- Geno Smith (DraftKings: $6,000 / FanDuel: $7,000)
- Kelly
- Geno Smith ($6.0K DraftKings / $7.0K FanDuel)
- Mid-range rostership with 11% of rosters on DraftKings and 9% of rosters on FanDuel. He’s projected to bring us 18 FPPG on both platforms. He’s also aiming for a 9th game in a row at home where he’s thrown a touchdown pass.
- Kenneth Walker III ($7.0K DraftKings / $8.8K FanDuel)
- Stack it! This could be Kenneth Walker’s 5th game in a row with a rushing touchdown. Fewer managers are picking up Walker on Fanduel (15.8 FPPG), likely due to the pricey salary. This stack is quite manageable on DraftKings (16.8 FPPG), but keep in mind that he’ll be on many DFS Week 7 rosters there.
- Geno Smith ($6.0K DraftKings / $7.0K FanDuel)
Bookworms
Value plays priced between $4,000 and $6,000 we are targeting in Cash Games (Austin) and Tournaments (Kelly)
- Austin
- D’Onta Foreman (DraftKings: $4,800 / FanDuel: $6,300)
- Roschon Johnson is out
- LV fourth worst against RBs
- 15 to 20 touches will provide plenty of opportunities. Plus a touchdown will pay off his salary easily
- Drake London (DraftKings: $5,100 / FanDuel: $6,900)
- TB not great against receivers
- London has an incredible target share
- Jordan Love (DraftKings: $5,800 / FanDuel: $7,800)
- Avoiding on FanDuel
- Lowest salary QB I feel comfortable with this week
- Green Bay should be at an advantage coming off the bye week
- D’Onta Foreman (DraftKings: $4,800 / FanDuel: $6,300)
- Kelly
- Mark Andrews ($5.7K DraftKings / $6.9K FanDuel)
- Mark Andrews is facing a Lions defense that ranks No. 26 in the league in allowing points to tight ends. He’s projected for 13.2 FPPG on DraftKings and 11.2 FPPG on FanDuel. This could be his 3rd straight game with 65 or more yards. This feels like a great prop bet…
- Javonte Williams ($5.4K DraftKings / $6.0K FanDuel)
- He’s had 40 or more rushing yards in four of his five games this season. In this week’s matchup against the Packers, he’s projected for 10.9 FPPG on DraftKings with just 3% projected rostership. On Fanduel, he’s projected for 9.6 FPPG and just 6% rostership. The Packers rank No. 27 in defending the run.
- Mark Andrews ($5.7K DraftKings / $6.9K FanDuel)
C’s get Degrees
Punt players of the week (less than $4,000) in Cash Games (Austin) and Tournaments (Kelly)
- Austin
- Luke Musgrave (DraftKings: $3,300 / FanDuel: $5,000)
- I need to save money to pay up for Cooper Kupp
- Denver Broncos are allowing over 17 points per game to tight ends
- Cade Otton (DraftKings: $2,900 / FanDuel: $4,700)
- Still betting against the Falcons linebackers
- In case you want to save more money at tight end, Cade Otton has a good chance of getting into the endzone.
- Luke Musgrave (DraftKings: $3,300 / FanDuel: $5,000)
- Kelly
- Curtis Samuel ($4.0K DraftKings / $6.4K FanDuel)
- Did you know that this week could be the 4th week in a row that Curtis Samuel scores a touchdown? Projected for 10.1 on DraftKings and 8.4 on Fanduel. Rostership is midrange on DraftKings, at 10% due to the extremely low salary and it’s projected for just 3% over on FanDuel.
- Luke Musgrave ($3.3K DraftKings / $5.0K FanDuel)
- At such a low salary range, DFS managers will be able to spend up at other positions by rostering Musgrave. He’s projected for 8-ish FPPG. Keep in mind that he’ll be on more than 20% of DFS rosters this week.
- Curtis Samuel ($4.0K DraftKings / $6.4K FanDuel)
Prop Quiz
Our favorite prop bets of the week, brought to you by Betspert!
- Austin
- Cooper Kupp Over 90.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog)
- Over 26.5 longest reception (Thrive)
- Kenneth Walker over 76.5 Rushing Yards (Underdog)
- Isiah Pacheco over 62.5 Rushing Yards (Underdog and Thrive)
- Luke Musgrave over 34.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog and Thrive)
- Raheem Mostert over 48.5 Rushing Yards (Underdog) 49.5 (Thrive)
- Brian Robinson over 8.5 receiving yards (Thrive)
- Cooper Kupp Over 90.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog)
- Kelly
- Underdog
- Kenneth Walker III higher than .05 rushing or receiving TD
- Mark Andrews spicy bet (iPhone only) higher than .05 rush or receiving TD
- Geno Smith higher than 254.5 Passing yards
- Christian Watson higher than 48.5 receiving yards
- Isaiah Pacheco higher than 14.5 Rushing Attempts
- DraftKings +504
- All six of these receivers average 67+ yards per game. Parlay them to each get 50+ on Sunday. Currently, a featured parlay, but you could rebuild if it fills.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown
- Stephan Diggs
- Mike Evans
- Puka Nacua
- Keenan Allen
- DK Metcalf
- All six of these receivers average 67+ yards per game. Parlay them to each get 50+ on Sunday. Currently, a featured parlay, but you could rebuild if it fills.
- Underdog