Talking Props: Week 13 NFL Player Props

NFL Player Props

Last week was a good week, as we went four-for-five in picks in the tight end themed NFL Player Props article. Only Mark Andrews and the infuriating Baltimore Ravens offense kept us from a perfect week. So, I had a thought. Should I go back-to-back on tight end themed articles?

Absolutely not.

The position does not deserve back-to-back themed articles. One was enough, even though we did well on it. So, this first week of December, we revert to just our five favorite prop bet articles. It is a positionless article. As always, the five prop bets selected will start with my most confident and work down. You can parlay as few as two picks or as many as five. It is up to you if you want to use any of these picks. You can also fade my picks or just come chat. Let’s get into it:

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Week 13 NFL Player Props

Derrick Henry 13.5 Receiving Yards

Take the HIGHER in this prop. The calendar turned to December, and we all know that Henry is at his best as we approach winter (and when there is snow in Vermont! – shoutout to The Fantasy Footballers). Henry has had three straight games with at least 14 receiving yards. He’s also been over in six of the last nine weeks. It only takes one, maybe two receptions, for Henry to hit this mark. He’s heading for a career-high in targets too. The Titans play Philly this week. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon hit the over last week. Take the HIGHER.

Christian McCaffrey 38.5 Receiving Yards 

Take the HIGHER in this prop too. Yes, CMC only had 17 receiving yards last week. However, CMC still had six targets. He had also hit the over in the previous three games as a 49er. This was literally his only under on his new team. It has helped that he has averaged seven targets a game since the trade. Elijah Mitchell is out this weekend. Deebo is dealing with his own injuries and could be limited. Playing the Dolphins, seeing CMC with eight to ten targets this weekend would not surprise me. If that’s the case, 39 yards should be a confident over. Take the HIGHER.

Dameon Pierce 90.5 Rush + Receiving Yards

Our first, but not only, LOWER of the week. Pierce has not hit the over in the last two weeks. It hasn’t been close, either, with a  total of 33 rushing + receiving yards in his previous two weeks combined. To make things worse, Pierce played barely 50% of snaps last week, his lowest mark since Week 7. The game script kills Dameon (Miami blew them out early). That’s because they just don’t use him in the passing game. Pierce averages 13 receiving yards a game. Houston needs to keep it close, and he will need to hit the over on the ground. That’s a tall task against Cleveland in Deshaun Watson’s debut against his former team. I would take the LOWER here.

Mike White 248.5 Pass Yards

Take the HIGHER here. Yes, let’s ride that Mike White wave for all it’s worth. He had over 300 pass yards last week against Chicago. It would have probably taken Zach Wilson at least 2.5 games to reach that mark. This week Mike White takes on the Vikings. They are the two-seed in the NFC, but not because of their defense. Minnesota gives up 276.1 pass yards per game. That makes them the worst pass defense in the league. I mean, they gave up over 380 pass yards to Mac Jones. Mac Jones!! The Vikings are also favored, so the Jets will probably need to keep throwing the ball. I like the HIGHER here.

Evan Engram 29.5 Receiving Yards

End the week with a LOWER here. We bet the lower last week on 30.5 receiving yards, and Engram finished with four yards. Four! He has now had fewer than 30 receiving yards in his previous three weeks. He’s been a total afterthought in this offense. This is while Zay Jones, Marvin Jones, and Christian Kirk are succeeding. And there was no Travis Etienne last week, either. Etienne should be back this weekend. It worked last week so let’s go back to the well on this prop. Take the LOWER.


There you have it. Bet with me, fade me, or just come chat about the picks. Take all 5x or just two. It’s up to you. Good luck!

You can find all of our Week 13 fantasy football content in either video form on Youtube or check out our other articles here.