I hate injuries. When we last talked NFL Player Props, it was the wide receiver prop article of Week 10. Unfortunately, injuries to Jerry Jeudy (Sutton then hit the over), and Juju Smith-Schuster (more than halfway to his over in the first half), ruined our chances at a 20x payout weekend. It was a good weekend other than that, though. Also, excuse my hiatus last week, as work has gotten a little wild before the holiday season.
Speaking of holidays, I hope everyone had a good Thanksgiving. For dessert on this long four-day weekend, enjoy the theme of a tight end prop bet article. As always, I am coming out with five tight end props in this article. They start with my most confident pick. It is up to you if you want to bet on these props, fade me, or just want to chat. The number of props you pick correlates with the possible payout. Don’t forget about Underdog’s insurance option. So, without further ado, let’s get into it.
Week 12 NFL Player Props
Mark Andrews 5.0 Receptions
Take the HIGHER here. Last week, Mark Andrews returned from injuries and posted six receptions against the Carolina Panthers. Andrews has had six or more receptions in five of his eight healthy games this year. Andrews would have pushed in one of those three “other” games with five receptions. He is the offense. No Rashod Bateman, JK Dobbins, Gus Edwards is banged up, and Devin Duvernay hasn’t really stepped up. It’s been literally, Mark Andrews and Demarcus Robinson. I think he’s a lock for the HIGHER here.
Austin Hooper 22.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. Austin Hooper has hit the over on this mark in his last three games. He has also hit the over in four of his previous five games. He’s getting increasingly involved in the offense, as evidenced by his 14 targets in the last three games. In his previous seven games, Hooper only had 15 targets. This trend in the offense is reassuring. It’s also reassuring that they play the Bengals this week. The Bengals just gave up 79 yards to Pat Freiermuth. Hooper only needs one or two receptions. Take the HIGHER here.
Looking for some fantasy advice? You’ll find what you’re looking for in Austin’s DFS A-List.
Travis Kelce 6.5 Receptions
Our first LOWER of the slate. Yes, I am dancing with the devil by taking the under on a Kelce prop. Let me explain, though. Kelce has had six receptions or less in three of his last four weeks. Kelce plays the Rams. The Rams are seventh against opposing tight ends. The Rams haven’t allowed seven receptions to a tight end all season. Ertz was the closest, with six in Week 2. The Rams are too busy getting torched by wide receivers every week. Kelce is also the type of tight end to be extremely productive on six receptions or less. In those three weeks mentioned above, Kelce had 81, 98, and 115 yards and four total touchdowns. So, I feel good taking the LOWER.
Noah Fant 27.5 Receiving Yards
Back to the HIGHER here. Fant has hit the over in his last two weeks and four of his previous six games. In those games that he’s hit the over, Fant has been averaging almost 5.5 targets per game. If that continues, he likely only needs three receptions to hit the over here. Thankfully, they play the Raiders. In the last two weeks, The TE1 from the opposing team has hit the over on the Raiders. Greg Dulich had 30 yards, and Kylen Granson had 57. Signs point to taking the HIGHER.
Evan Engram 30.5 Yards
Our last LOWER of the week. It Is also the last prop of the week. Evan Engram has had under 31 yards in his previous two games. He has hit the under in five of his ten total games too. He’s highly inconsistent. The Jaguars play the Ravens this week too. The Ravens have pretty much shut down all tight ends for weeks. Juwan Johnson had a 41-yard bomb in garbage time. That’s the only blemish the Ravens have allowed to a tight end in a month. I expect them to get after Trevor Lawrence. Take the LOWER here.
There you have it. Bet with me, fade me, or just come chat about the picks. Take all five or just two. It’s up to you. Good luck!