I can’t believe we are already at the halfway point of the NFL season. So many noteworthy things have happened or will happen this season. For example, I will be married before this year’s Super Bowl! Imagine that? Time flies. The last time we saw each other, I submitted a QB-themed NFL Player Props article for your reading pleasure. This week we are shifting our attention to a running back theme.
You know the drill. Five props in order that start with my most confident prop. You can choose to follow along, fade the picks, or just discuss. If you follow along, Underdog gives you the choice of 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, depending on how many legs you want to parlay. You pick if you wish. Also, shout out to Ryan and Josh for always covering for me when I need to take hiatuses. It makes Club Fantasy easy to write for when you have great support! Ok, let’s get into it:
Week 9 NFL Player Props
Dalvin Cook 75.5 Rush Yards
Take the HIGHER. This is quite possibly my favorite RB prop on the slate. He has had at least 76 rush yards in their last five games and in six of their seven overall. Every time the Vikings have won, Cook has hit the over. We are also confident they beat Washington this week with a middle-of-the-pack run defense. The Vikings are three-point road favorites, which we know, would mean eight to nine points favorites at home. Dalvin should see plenty of work if that line holds true. Take the HIGHER.
Joe Mixon 22.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. It’s a good prop. Mixon has had at least 23 receiving yards in three straight games and in five of eight games overall. Mixon received nine targets in the Bengals’ first game without Ja’Marr Chase. I don’t expect that to change any time soon. Carolina is a bottom-half defense in fantasy against opposing running backs. That’s the BBengals’next opponent. If he gets more than four targets, it’s a slam dunk. He’s hit the over with four or fewer targets, too, though. That’s why I like the odds and the HIGHER here.
Alvin Kamara 36.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. Kamara has had at least 37 receiving yards in three of his last four games. In these games, Kamara has averaged nearly nine targets per. It’s also brought his season average to almost 48 receiving yards per game. That would be a cash with yards to spare! The reason it’s not higher on my list is the long-anticipated video of his altercation was released by TMZ this morning (mid-article). It’s hard to tell exactly what’s going on but just be weary whether he plays or not, given it’s so close to Sunday. No harm in waiting until Sunday morning if you like this prop as much as I do. If he plays, take the HIGHER.
Deon Jackson 22.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here too. Deon Jackson has only played in more than five snaps in two games this season. He hit at least 23 receiving yards in those two games in both. Deon had ten targets in the game without Jonathan Taylor or Nyheim Hines. This would be a no-brainer, slam dunk if it were still Matt Ryan now. I understand it’s Sam Ehlinger now, but the Colts are 5.5-point underdogs, and the Patriots are historically notorious for taking away a team’s top receiving threat (Michael Pittman Jr?). I expect plenty of opportunities for targets with no JT and Hines in Buffalo. Take the HIGHER.
Khalil Herbert 40.5 Rush Yards
Finally, take the HIGHER here too. I know. Why are we wasting time with the Bears’ backup RB? It’s because Herbert has looked better than David Montgomery has all season. Herbert has also hit 41 rush yards in six of eight games. If he gets more than 14 snaps, it’s automatic. That has been the case in his last three games. The Bears have also been figuring things out on offense in that same timeframe. Admittedly, Miami has been a top-ten run defense this year, and they just traded for Bradley Chubb. What’s the best way to neutralize an outstanding pass rush? One could say establishing the run. Herbert is their best running back. Take the HIGHER here.
Feel free to bet with me, fade me, or just discuss these picks! Depending on how many bets you make depends on the multiplier. All five is 20x. Two-leg bets are 3x. Take your pick. Also, consider insurance if you want. Good luck!