Guess who’s back? Back again. Chris is back. Tell your friends. Back from a one-week hiatus due to some work-related responsibilities. Josh did a fine job filling in with his picks last week. I know we didn’t win. However, it had me thinking. It’s dang hard to hit a 5-leg parlay of NFL Player Props. If it were easy, we would all be rich.
So, I’m tweaking this week’s article. I will still give you five of my favorite player props on the week, courtesy of Underdog. The twist is the props will be listed on a scale. The first prop is my most confident pick. The last prop I still like, but I am less sure. We will leave it up to you to decide how many props you want to bet. The payouts for a 2-Leg bet is 3x your money, 3-Leg is 6x, four is 10x, and five out of five pays 20 times your bet. You can also take their insurance options for worse odds, but the ability to still win with one incorrect pick. As always, it’s up to you. Let’s get into it.
Week 6 NFL Player Props
Tom Brady 289.5 Passing Yards
Take the HIGHER here. This is my favorite prop on the slate. Brady has passed for at least 350 yards in his last two games. Mike Evans has already served his suspension, and Chris Godwin is back and relatively healthy. Plus, the RBs are an elite option coming out of the backfield. Who knows, we may see a Julio sighting this week. A full complement of weapons makes Tom Brady dangerous. Also, they play Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers allowed Josh Allen to pass for almost 400 yards IN THE FIRST HALF. Pittsburgh has the second-worst passing defense in the league. I expect big things from Brady. TAKE THE OVER.
David Njoku 39.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. If the Tom Brady prop was a 95 on my confidence scale, this prop is a 94. It is one of my favorites on the slate. Njoku has had 73 yards receiving, or more, in his last three weeks. He’s received 23 targets in the process. He’s quickly become one of Jacoby Brissett’s favorite receivers. The Patriots have a decent defense against the TE position, but Mark Andrews did go 8 for 89. All we need is 40 yards here. Take the OVER.
Saquon Barkley 105.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. Sense a trend? You know me. I like this prop a lot. Saquon had 106 total yards last week. That makes the third straight week that he has hit the over on this prop and four out of five weeks this season. They play the Ravens this week in a game that Vegas thinks will be decided by less than seven. That means Saquon should be a threat on the ground and through the air. It only takes one play with him too. Take the OVER.
Breece Hall 19.5 Receiving Yards
Take the HIGHER here as well. That makes four higher prop picks. Who likes betting the under anyways? Here, Breece has hit the over on this prop bet on three of five total weeks. The odds aren’t great, and some of those games are pre-Zach Wilson, but he is averaging nearly six targets per game overall. If that turns into three receptions for 20 yards, then we have hit the mark. This week they play the Packers and are seven-point underdogs. So, there should be plenty of opportunities for check-downs and dump-offs. Take the OVER.
Aaron Jones 0.5 Rushing + Receiving TDs
Take the HIGHER here to close out the props. I admit this prop is more of a hunch. Aaron Jones has gone three consecutive weeks without scoring a touchdown. This is Aaron Jones, though. He’s scored double-digit touchdowns in his last three seasons. He’s due for one of those blowup games! The Jets are in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points against opposing running backs. Mostert had 113 yards and a touchdown last week against this team. With how much the Packers are struggling, give Aaron Jones the ball! He’s their best weapon. Take the OVER here.
There you have it, five prop bets that you can use, fade, or just chat about this week. If you prefer not to do a 5-leg prop, refer to the top of the list for which props are my fave this week. Good luck!
So much time is spent on offensive players, but we cover defense too. Check out You Down with IDP? every Thursday at 7 PM EST.