The last week of the season was ok. We hit enough props that it wasn’t a major bust but did not make it into the money. The final week of the season is always weird, though. So let’s get some redemption in this super wild card weekend. There are only three games on Sunday, so the pool of player props is a lot less to choose from. It does make things harder, but that’s why I am here, though. You know the drill. Five props coming at you for the three games on Sunday.
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Top Five Thrive Fantasy Wild Card Sunday Player Props
Mike Evans 0.5 Total Rec. TDs
Take the OVER here. Mike Evans had a whopping 14 touchdowns this year in 16 games. This includes three touchdowns in the two games since Godwin’s injury. After two seasons, it seems safe to say that Evans is the apple of Tom Brady’s eye. Now, it is true that Mike Evans didn’t score in Week 6, when they last played the Eagles. However, the team did score 28 points that week. There is no Antonio Brown or Chris Godwin this time (Brown caught one of the touchdowns that week). The odds are relatively high that if Brady has one or more touchdowns, then Evans will score. There are 90 points available for the over.
Dak Prescott 270.5 Total Pass Yards
Take the UNDER here. Sure, Dak has been at 271 yards passing or more in two of the last three weeks. However, those two games were against the Football Team and an Eagles team that was resting most of their starters. Neither of these teams brings what the 49ers bring on defense. The 49ers are a top ten defense against both the pass and the run. They are a top ten scoring defense too. The Rams scored 24 points, but Stafford only had about 230 yards passing. So even if the Cowboys score 20+ points, the odds are still fair that Dak has fewer than 271 yards passing. You get 105 points for the under.
Najee Harris 60.5 Total Rush Yards
Take the UNDER here as well. I know we missed on this prop when the Steelers and Chiefs played in Week 16. However, I believe the process was still correct. The Chiefs absolutely boat raced the Steelers. The final score ended up being 36-10 Chiefs. Najee picked up most of those yards in garbage time. This is the playoffs, though. There is no garbage time.
Given that Najee has only had 36 yards rushing against the Ravens and Titans combined in the last month, the under is a real possibility. Did I mention you get 115 points for the under? With so little to choose from, you must figure out how to separate yourself from the field. This is it right here.
Tyreek Hill 85.5 Total Rec Yards
Take the UNDER here too. Tyreek Hill only had 19 yards receiving against the Steelers the last time around. Hill has only had one game since Week 10 with more than 85 yards receiving. That was in Week 15. It does seem possible that his time spent on the COVID-IR has affected him. He only has 61 yards receiving since. It was proven that they didn’t even need him to boat race the Steelers last time. He could be another decoy, and you get 80 points for the under.
Travis Kelce 0.5 Total Rec. TDs
Finally, take the OVER here. Travis Kelce has had four touchdowns in the last three weeks that he has played. He scored in all three of those weeks. Mahomes will be airing it out against the Steelers as he did a few weeks ago. Touchdowns will be aplenty. With Hill potentially being a decoy, touchdowns from Mahomes should favor Kelce to hit the over. The over is 90 points.
There are 490 points here for the taking. Get working on the other half.
Looking for more action on Super Wild Card Weekend? Joel Wirth’s Blurred Lines breaks down the Vegas betting lines for these important games.