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Thrive Fantasy Player Props To Exploit | Week 15 Main Slate

It seems like Week 13 was ages ago. It was not that good of a week, and it was frustrating. It led to me taking Week 14 off. However, after the weeklong hiatus, we come to Week 15 with a fresh mind and a positive attitude. It is the same story as it has been all season too. We will be selecting five props from a list of 20. You are tasked with filling in the other five picks. C’mon y’all. I do half the work here. So, let’s get started.

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Note: All projections given are from Club Fantasy co-host Ryan Weisse.

Top Five Thrive Fantasy Player Props

DK Metcalf 0.5 Total Rec. TDs

Take the UNDER here. DK Metcalf does have eight total touchdowns this year. However, his last touchdown came against the Jaguars on Halloween. Yes, that means he hasn’t scored a touchdown in the previous five weeks. Any idea what that coincides with? Russell Wilson came back from his injury five weeks ago. Therefore, since then, DK hasn’t scored a single time. It’s weird because the two of them have had an excellent connection the last two years. There just seems to have been a disconnect this year. It’s hard to explain without going to narrative street. Ryan Weisse is projecting a touchdown for DK this week but none for Lockett, who has scored two touchdowns in the last five weeks. The under is worth 90 points.

Miles Sanders 0.5 Rush TDs

Take the UNDER here as well. This year has unfortunately been a disaster for Miles Sanders. He has not been exactly healthy this year and has missed several games. Miles Sanders also hasn’t scored a single touchdown all year. You can bet that that changes and that he’s due. However, he’s playing the Washington Football Team this week. They’ve only given up six rushing touchdowns to opposing RBs this year and only one since October. Their defense has really turned it around in the last six weeks or so. Ryan disagrees again and is projecting Sanders’ first touchdown of the season this weekend. However, given everything above, I feel more comfortable projecting an 11th straight game without a TD. The under is worth 95 points.

Kyle Pitts 3.5 Total Rec

Our first OVER of the article. Kyle Pitts has hit at least four receptions in eight of his 13 games, including his last two games. This is also the first prop that Ryan and I agree on this week. Ryan is projecting five receptions for Kyle Pitts against the 49ers. Kyle is averaging close to seven targets a game and over four receptions a game. I like those numbers. I like those numbers a lot, with the Falcons being a 9.5-point underdog. They will be throwing a ton. The over is worth 95 points here.

Kyler Murray 296.5 Total Pass YDS + Rush YDS

Take the OVER here as well. Kyler Murray is coming off a game where he had 444 total pass + rush yards in a loss to the Rams. Kyler has hit the over on the 297 total yards mark in exactly 50% of his games. In a loss, Kyler hit this mark against the Lions last year (299 total yards). The Lions are coming off a 38-10 loss to the Denver Broncos in which their defense got absolutely worked by Bridgewater and Javonte Williams + Melvin Gordon. The Cardinals are projected to hang at least 30 on the Lions too. If that’s the case, there’s a good bet that Kyler hits this over.   Ryan disagrees yet again and is only giving Kyler 239 total yards. However, I feel pretty confident in a 297 total yard day from Kyler and the 90 points it comes with.

Trevor Lawrence 1.5 Pass TDs

Take the OVER here as well. This is probably considered my “boldest” take of the five props, which makes sense. Lawrence hasn’t had more than one passing touchdown in a game since week 1. He has only thrown one passing touchdown since Halloween. So why am I taking the over? Lawrence’s week-1 opponent was none other than the Houston Texans (his week 15 opponent). Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns. If he is going to hit that mark against anyone, it will be them. The Texans have given up eight touchdowns in their last two games. Ryan and I finally agree again on this one. He has Lawrence projected for two. The points make it worth the risk, too, with 115 points for the over.

That’s 485 available points in these five matchups. That is more than enough to build a good base. Now go find you five more and win some money.

Check out all of Chris’ articles on Thrive Fantasy Player Props and all things fantasy here. If you’re looking for more betting action, Joel Wirth’s Blurred Lines breaks down the Vegas betting lines each week!