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Thrive Fantasy Player Props To Exploit | Week 13 Main Slate

It was a good week last week.  We hit four out of the five props that were highlighted in this article.  If only it wasn’t a Leonard Fournette week, then it could have been all five.  Imagine the Buccaneers scoring as much as they did with as few passing yards as they had.  That was unbelievable.  However, if you followed along last week, then you built a nice little base with the other four picks.  Those four picks could have potentially been the base to win you some money. So that is our goal again for lucky Week 13.  Five more picks coming at you all.

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Note: All projections given are from Club Fantasy co-host Ryan Weisse.

Joe Mixon 80.5 Rush Yards

Let’s start with an OVER here.  Joe Mixon has had 288 total yards rushing in the last two weeks.  He had 123 yards rushing against the Raiders and 165 yards rushing against the Steelers.  Both defenses are near the bottom in terms of total rushing yards allowed per game.  However, they are nowhere close to how bad the 32nd ranked rush-defense is for the Chargers.  That’s the Bengals next opponent.  Ryan Weisse is projecting Mixon to have 86 yards this weekend.  I am even more confident than that for Mixon to hit the over and to stay in the flames.  The over is worth 110 points.

Keenan Allen 70.5 Rec. Yards

We are taking another OVER in the same game.  Keenan Allen has had five consecutive games with at least 71 receiving yards.  Allen has also hit this mark in eight out of his eleven games this season.  The chances of him hitting that mark again are high.  That is especially true, considering he averages nearly 11 targets per game and over seven receptions per game.  If he gets his season average in this game against the Bengals, 71 yards is almost guaranteed.  Ryan may not be as confident in his projections having Allen at only 73 yards.  However, that’s still an over and the over in this prop is worth 100 points.  That’s not bad.

Kirk Cousins 1.5 Total Pass TDs

This is the last OVER in the article.  Kirk Cousins has had at least two passing touchdowns every game since Week 8 and has only finished below that mark in three out of eleven total games.  Now, it is true that one of those three down games for Cousins was against the Lions.  However, the Lions are still the 27th-ranked scoring defense in the league, giving up 26.3 points per game, and Vegas has Minnesota’s expected point total at 27.  There are touchdowns to be had.  Dalvin Cook unfortunately went down with an injury. Therefore, the odds are there won’t be a repeat down performance from Cousins like the last game against the Lions.  Ryan has him projected for three total touchdowns.  Take the over and the 90 points that comes with it.

Russell Wilson 2.5 Pass TDs + INTs

Our first UNDER of the article.  Russell Wilson has looked atrocious since coming back from his injury he suffered in Week 5.  In these three games he is averaging less than one interception per game and less than one touchdown per game.  Even before the injury, Russell Wilson has only had one single game with more than 2 Passing TDs + INTs.  That was all the way back in week one too.  This 49ers defense is in the Top 12 in total passing yards given up and total points given up.  They are a very solid defense.  I don’t expect for Wilson to have his first game over 2.5 Pass TDs + INTs since week 1 in this matchup.  However, Ryan and I disagree as he has Wilson passing for three touchdowns and one interception.  The under is worth 120 points though if you are on the fence.  I am taking the under.

Lamar Jackson 250.5 Pass Yards

Finally, take the UNDER here as well.  Lamar Jackson is averaging about 261 passing yards per game this season.  However, in Lamar’s last five games, that average has went down to only 218 passing yards per game.  Lamar has also thrown nine interceptions in his previous five games.  It goes without saying that this passing game has experienced some ups and some downs this year.  They play the Steelers this week.  Lamar has struggled MIGHTILY against the Steelers in his career, only averaging 95 yards passing per game.  The Steelers aren’t what they once were on defense, but they are still in the Top 12 in passing yards allowed per game (234.5).  Ryan and I disagree again as Ryan has Lamar passing for 278 yards this weekend.  However, I feel confident picking the under given everything discussed above.  The under is worth 95 points. 

There are more points for the taking this week from these five props. So swoop up the possible 515 points by taking these five props as part of the ten you are required to pick.  Good luck.  Let’s win some money.