Last week was good. It was not great, but we hit on three of the five props that were highlighted in this article. The two that were missed were also close. Austin Ekeler had 82 yards and the line was 94.5. Dalvin Cook only had 20 yards rushing in all carries except for two. Those two carries totaled about 90 yards. The line was 92.5. Time to move on to Week 10, though. Let’s shoot for at least four out of five this week and win some more money. If you have been following this article these last two weeks then it’s likely that you have cashed as well, depending on your other five picks. I can only help so much though. Meet you halfway? Let’s get into it.
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Note: All projections given are from Club Fantasy co-host Ryan Weisse.
Justin Jefferson 85.5 Total Rec. Yards
We are starting with an UNDER this week. This was the line in Week 2 when Justin Jefferson finished with just 65 yards. Look back on the Week 2 article, and you will see that we picked the under in that game too. Jefferson has had six of his eight games this season under the 85-yard mark. His last time going over was week five. The Chargers are their opponent this week. Devonta Smith is the only wide receiver that the Chargers have allowed over that mark all year. They’ve played against some elite WRs too (Tyreek Hill; Terry McLaurin; Dallas WRs). In his Week 10 projections, Ryan Weisse also believes he will miss the mark, as he projects 71 receiving yards. The under is only 80 points, but it’s key to build that base. The winners last week only had 840 points over their 10 props.
Carson Wentz 0.5 Total INTs
Take the UNDER here as well. Carson Wentz has played nine games this year. Wentz has thrown at least one interception in only two of those games, and only three total interceptions. Say what you will about Wentz, but he just is not throwing very many interceptions this year. Insert the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. Only five teams have less interceptions than the Jaguars do. That’s even considering they intercepted Josh Allen twice last week! Ryan is projecting one interception for Wentz this week. However, given everything that was just discussed, there are 125 points available for the under. Take the side that offers you 50 more points if you are on the fence here. Take the under.
Alvin Kamara 115.5 Rush Yards + Rec. Yards
Last UNDER of the week here. Kamara is banged up so if he plays this prop might be cheating. However, even if he’s fully healthy, I believe the under is a good bet. Kamara has failed to hit 116 total yards in half of his games, so it could be considered a coin flip. That doesn’t consider though that Kamara has a new QB in Trevor Siemian. It also doesn’t consider the presence of Mark Ingram. Kamara failed to meet this mark last week in Siemian’s first start of the season (against the Falcons too!!). Mark Ingram also had 14 touches (five receptions!!). It seems like his old-partner-in-crime is going to be used a fair bit by the Saints. Those factors + reports that Kamara is banged up = the under here. Ryan has projected 101 total yards for Kamara. The under is worth 100 points.
Ben Roethlisberger 1.5 Total Pass TDs
The first OVER of the week. This is a leverage play like the Carson Wentz prop pick. Let me explain. Ben Roethlisberger has thrown at least one passing touchdown every single week this year. However, he has only thrown more than one in two of eight games. One of those games was last week though against the Bears. That’s why the line is at 1.5. Now they are playing the Lions this week. In over half of Lions games, the Lions have given up two or more passing touchdowns. In their other games there gave up numerous rushing touchdowns. Vegas is projecting three touchdowns for the Steelers and 110 points are up for grabs on the over. Take the points in these toss-up lines. Ryan is also projecting two touchdowns this week.
Diontae Johnson 0.5 REC TDs
Take the OVER here as well. This is a double bet on the Steelers and Lions game. Diontae Johnson only has two touchdowns this year. So, one might say that he is due for a touchdown. One also might point to the Lions who have given up a whopping 15 passing touchdowns in eight games, and seven of those went to opposing WRs. Since the Lions are giving up a touchdown reception to WRs every week, it’s a good bet to bet that it goes to Diontae. Remember, that’s just an average. Ryan is projecting a touchdown and you will get 110 points if that happens. I’m confident he’s going to catch one of Big Ben’s touchdowns this week.
There are a whopping 525 points up for grabs in this article. Go find the other 400-500 and make some serious cash.