I am surprised that there are even 20 props to choose from this week. The bye-apocalypse is upon us. The Bills, Cowboys, Vikings, Jaguars, Steelers, and Chargers are all on a bye week. You try saying all of those teams five times fast. It’s an exercise for sure. However, we are only here for my five favorite props for the weekend. It’s been a little down the last couple of weeks, but it’s always darkest before the dawn. Let’s get into it.
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Note: All projections given are from Club Fantasy co-host Ryan Weisse.
Patrick Mahomes 310.5 Pass Yards
Take the OVER here. Mahomes is coming off a week where he threw for nearly 400 yards against the Washington Football Team. Insert the Tennessee Titans as their next opponent. While the Titans may have beat the Bills, Josh Allen had no problem passing on this defense, throwing for over 350 yards. This is a safe bet here, and Ryan Weisse agrees in his projections. Ryan has Mahomes at a comfortable 349 yards. With no CEH again, and Darrel Williams averaging less than three yards per carry, it’s clear that the Chiefs will need to rely on its pass attack for this game. The over will net you 95 points.
Travis Kelce 86.5 Receiving Yards
I am also taking the OVER here. Typical me, right? Travis Kelce has met this over in three of his last five games. Those are good odds, especially against a porous pass defense from the Titans (see above). Kelce hit that mark in nine of his 15 games last year too. This Chiefs passing offense is simple. Is it Hill, Kelce, or both? Often it is both. Ryan is giving the big day to Hill in his projections (101 yards). Meanwhile, Kelce is only projected 73 yards. However, let me remind you about the Titans’ defense! The over is worth exactly 100 points.
Derrick Henry 115.5 Rush Yards
Take the OVER as always. This is my third consecutive prop surrounding the Titans and Chiefs. I’m all in on this game. I am all in on Derrick Henry too. In eight of his last 13 regular-season games, Derrick Henry has hit this mark, including his last three weeks. He’s had at least nine of his previous 13 regular-season games over 113 yards too. We have never seen anything like this. The Chiefs are 27th in the league in rush defense, giving up a whopping 133.2 rush yards per game. Derrick Henry is the team’s rushing offense!! Ryan has Henry covering with 118 rush yards. You should, too, and take those 110 Thrive Points all the way to the bank.
DeAndre Hopkins 0.5 Receiving TDs
Smash the OVER here. Hopkins has six receiving touchdowns this year. He has found the endzone in four of his six games. He’s a good bet to find the endzone against the Houston Texans too. The Texans have given up at least 21 points in every single game this year. That includes ten receiving touchdowns that Houston has given up. Arizona is being given about 33 points via the Vegas sportsbook. It’s fair to bet on Hopkins scoring one of those touchdowns. Ryan has him with two. Another 100 points up for grabs on the over.
Jonathan Taylor 92.5 Rush Yards + Rec. Yards
Close with another OVER here. Jonathan Taylor has been on an absolute tear these last three games. Taylor has had a least 114 combined yards in the previous three games. Taylor has hit this over in four of six games overall. The Colts play the 49ers this week. It’s a tough matchup, but the Colts go as Jonathan Taylor goes. The Colts are 2-1 in those last three games, with the only loss being the heartbreaking loss to the Ravens when Taylor hits the over. Ryan has Taylor at 102 yards, and that sounds about right. Close with the over and 90 points here.
There’s 495 points at your disposal. Go win some money!