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Thrive Fantasy Player Props To Exploit | Week 5 Main Slate

Fantasy Football 2023

That’s better. Last week, we were 3-for-5 and hit on some big props, like the over on 1.5 Jalen Hurts passing TDs and another mammoth rushing game from Derrick Henry. Unfortunately, I did not foresee the absolute clunker of a game between Cleveland and Minnesota.  Time to build on that overall momentum, though, for another glorious week of thrive props.

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Note: All projections given are from Club Fantasy co-host Ryan Weisse.

Ben Roethlisberger 0.5 Total INTs

Take the OVER here.  Big Ben looks so washed this year.  He has thrown four interceptions in his last three weeks, and the Steelers have been manhandled in all three games.  Now, they get the Denver Broncos.  The Steelers are favored by one, but that’s not because of the Broncos’ defense.  The over/under is currently set at a putrid 39.5. There’s going to be a lot of good defense.  The Broncos get to the quarterback and force turnovers.  The Broncos are top ten in sacks and have forced four interceptions in the last three games.  Old man Ben should have no problem throwing one here.  Ryan agrees in his projections.  The over is worth 75 points.  Take the layup.

Ezekiel Elliott 0.5 Total Rush + Rec TDs.

Take the OVER here as well.  Ezekiel Elliott has scored ten total touchdowns in the last nine games that Dak Prescott has started at QB.  Elliott has had at least one touchdown in seven of those games.  The Cowboys play the Giants in “America’s Game of the Week.”  The Giants have given up six total rushing touchdowns so far this season.  The over/under is a very nice 52.5.  There will be a ton of offense in this game, and the Cowboys have proven this year that they can put up big points without throwing much.  Watch last week’s game against Carolina.  Ryan is projecting a Zeke score.  All you need is one for those 85 points.  Feed Zeke!

Justin Herbert 310.5 Total Pass + Rush Yards

Take the UNDER here (*gasps*).  Justin Herbert has had 226 and 299 total yards in the last two weeks (pass + rush).  The Chargers have played great in both of those games as well.  One of those games was against the high-flying Kansas City Chiefs.  Now, the Chargers get the Browns.  The Browns have only given up 34 points in the last three games.  In those three games, the Browns have given up a combined 411 pass yards (137 yards per game).  Ryan disagrees and has Herbert at 327 total yards.  It would be the first time since Week 2, though, that Herbert would have done that and the first time the Browns allowed it since Patrick Mahomes in Week 1.  I feel good about the under, and it’s worth 95 points.

Kyler Murray 255.5 Pass Yards

Back to taking the OVER here..  Kyler has had at least 268 passing yards in all four games this year.  The game line is 49 points, and the Cardinals are projected for about 26.  There should be a lot of scoring in this game, even if it is against the tough 49ers.  The 49ers haven’t given up more than 255 passing yards since Week 1.  Ryan has Murray projected for 256 yards, right at the over.  However, if it’s not broken, don’t break it.  I am confident Kyler will make it five in a row after a big day at home for the 4-0 Cardinals.  The over will get you 80 points.

Trevor Lawrence 1.5 Pass TDs

I am closing with another OVER here.  Trevor Lawrence had three passing touchdowns in Week 1. However, he hasn’t had more than one passing touchdown in any week since.  So why am I confident here?  The Titans have given up eight passing touchdowns in four games, including two or more passing touchdowns in three of those games.  The Jaguars have looked better of late. Ryan has projected Lawrence for two touchdowns here, too.  The over is a whopping 120 points, so it is well worth the risk of going with the rookie in this prop.

455 total points up for grabs in these five props.